Preferential Polling

Allowing respondents to rank their choices, rather than choose only their top one or two candidates, provides us invaluable insights into our Republican base.

Especially early in a primary, many voters are still making a decision about which candidate to support. Voters start grouping candidates into those they like and those they will not support. Seeing how voters would rank each candidate reveals patterns and can provide a glimpse into how the race will develop over time. 

Understanding which candidates voters like the least shows which messages are resonating and which are falling flat. 

Preferential polling also allows us to simulate where voters move if and when their preferred candidates drop out of the race. 

More and more data scientists and organizations are using preferential polling to get a fuller picture of how voters are deciding which candidates to support.

Preferential polling in the 2024 presidential election

Ahead of the 2024 presidential election, several preferential polls were conducted that provided important information on Republicans’ views. Polls of the Republican primary found President Trump was a clear front-runner, while polls testing possible picks for his running mate revealed Senators JD Vance and Tim Scott were the strongest options.

See analysis from these polls below:

President Trump running mates poll, May 2024

Republican presidential primary poll, September 2023

Republican presidential primary poll, August 2023